Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.125753 0.138644 0.151840 0.166329 0.181764 0.197687 0.215327
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.103120 0.122292 0.142887 0.166530 0.192796 0.220959 0.253316
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.084315 0.107042 0.132558 0.163024 0.198104 0.236937 0.282875
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.075138 0.101091 0.131325 0.168589 0.212722 0.262787 0.323323
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.067161 0.095368 0.129355 0.172444 0.224742 0.285317 0.359915
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.060043 0.089764 0.126726 0.174819 0.234485 0.304872 0.392942
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053442 0.084036 0.123270 0.175581 0.241814 0.321264 0.422105
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.052307 0.085337 0.128636 0.187372 0.262796 0.354313 0.471597
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047863 0.081626 0.127059 0.189947 0.272023 0.372918 0.503639
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.044402 0.078941 0.126561 0.193695 0.282599 0.393157 0.537776
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040060 0.074551 0.123374 0.193560 0.287939 0.406719 0.563632
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038933 0.074857 0.126663 0.202152 0.304731 0.434888 0.607976
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037624 0.074971 0.129921 0.211161 0.322785 0.465632 0.656915
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034051 0.071196 0.127331 0.211910 0.329800 0.482324 0.688371
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029621 0.065575 0.121637 0.207958 0.330237 0.490381 0.708839
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028217 0.064925 0.123367 0.214637 0.345284 0.517727 0.754418
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026456 0.063469 0.123721 0.219237 0.357455 0.541369 0.795412
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024470 0.061400 0.122951 0.222061 0.367101 0.561692 0.832229
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.022282 0.058716 0.121003 0.222968 0.373950 0.578258 0.864204
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022758 0.061181 0.127543 0.236895 0.399571 0.620444 0.930381
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.021184 0.059459 0.127028 0.239931 0.409536 0.641444 0.968639
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.019975 0.058341 0.127436 0.244346 0.421503 0.665252 1.010802
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.018114 0.055665 0.125014 0.244188 0.426718 0.679774 1.040608